Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for De Graafschap in this match.
