Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Den Bosch win with a probability of 42.21%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Den Bosch win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.51%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
