Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 2-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Telstar would win this match.