SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dordrecht win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dordrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.75%) and 0-2 (5.59%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dordrecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Den Bosch | Draw | Dordrecht |
35.94% ( -0.15) | 23.39% ( 0.1) | 40.67% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 63.63% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.01% ( -0.52) | 37.99% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.74% ( -0.56) | 60.26% ( 0.56) |
| Den Bosch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.66% ( -0.31) | 21.34% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.7% ( -0.49) | 54.3% ( 0.48) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.89% ( -0.2) | 19.11% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.27% ( -0.33) | 50.73% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Den Bosch | Draw | Dordrecht |
| 2-1 @ 8.05% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.76% Total : 35.94% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.39% | 1-2 @ 8.63% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 4.76% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.43% Total : 40.67% |
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