SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dordrecht win with a probability of 50.39%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dordrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.41%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dordrecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dordrecht | Draw | Helmond Sport |
50.39% ( 0.06) | 22.37% ( -0.04) | 27.24% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 62.86% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.88% ( 0.18) | 37.12% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.68% ( 0.19) | 59.32% ( -0.19) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.99% ( 0.09) | 15.01% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.53% ( 0.16) | 43.47% ( -0.16) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.95% ( 0.08) | 26.04% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.92% ( 0.1) | 61.08% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dordrecht | Draw | Helmond Sport |
| 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.44% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.12% Total : 50.39% | 1-1 @ 9.97% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.37% | 1-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.31% Total : 27.24% |
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