SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Den Bosch win with a probability of 51.8%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 25.23% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Den Bosch win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Den Bosch would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Den Bosch | Draw | Dordrecht |
51.8% ( -0.64) | 22.97% ( 0.07) | 25.23% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 58.72% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.29% ( 0.22) | 41.72% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.88% ( 0.22) | 64.12% ( -0.21) |
| Den Bosch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.82% ( -0.14) | 16.19% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.35% ( -0.27) | 45.66% ( 0.27) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.06% ( 0.58) | 29.95% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.95% ( 0.68) | 66.06% ( -0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Den Bosch | Draw | Dordrecht |
| 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.45% Total : 51.8% | 1-1 @ 10.64% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.97% | 1-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.11% Total : 25.23% |
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