SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Den Bosch win with a probability of 38.96%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 36.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Den Bosch win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.85%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Den Bosch | Draw | Roda JC |
38.96% ( 0.17) | 24.51% ( -0.06) | 36.53% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 59.51% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.62% ( 0.29) | 43.38% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.23% ( 0.28) | 65.78% ( -0.28) |
| Den Bosch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.78% ( 0.21) | 22.22% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.35% ( 0.32) | 55.65% ( -0.31) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.52% ( 0.08) | 23.48% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.5% ( 0.11) | 57.5% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Den Bosch | Draw | Roda JC |
| 2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 5.9% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.42% Total : 38.96% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.51% | 1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.98% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.15% Total : 36.53% |
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