Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Den Bosch win with a probability of 50.85%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 25.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Den Bosch win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 1-2 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
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