Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
