Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Den Bosch win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Den Bosch win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
