Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 62.87%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 17.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.88%) and 0-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 2-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.