Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Helmond Sport win with a probability of 48.57%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Helmond Sport win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.45%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Helmond Sport would win this match.
