Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 46.14%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.