Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Helmond Sport win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Helmond Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Helmond Sport would win this match.