Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Helmond Sport win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Helmond Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Helmond Sport would win this match.