SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Helmond Sport win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Helmond Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Helmond Sport would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Helmond Sport | Draw | Jong PSV |
| 39.23% | 24.71% | 36.07% |
| Both teams to score 58.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.64% | 44.36% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.27% | 66.73% |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.48% | 22.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.9% | 56.1% |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.82% | 24.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.5% | 58.51% |
| Score Analysis |
| Helmond Sport | Draw | Jong PSV |
| 2-1 @ 8.59% 1-0 @ 8.12% 2-0 @ 6.05% 3-1 @ 4.27% 3-2 @ 3.03% 3-0 @ 3.01% 4-1 @ 1.59% 4-2 @ 1.13% 4-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.33% Total : 39.23% | 1-1 @ 11.52% 2-2 @ 6.1% 0-0 @ 5.45% 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.7% | 1-2 @ 8.18% 0-1 @ 7.73% 0-2 @ 5.49% 1-3 @ 3.87% 2-3 @ 2.89% 0-3 @ 2.6% 1-4 @ 1.37% 2-4 @ 1.02% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.99% Total : 36.07% |
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