SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dordrecht win with a probability of 60.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for TOP Oss had a probability of 18.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dordrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 1-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a TOP Oss win it was 1-2 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dordrecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dordrecht | Draw | TOP Oss |
60.51% ( 1.32) | 20.79% ( -0.6) | 18.7% ( -0.72) |
| Both teams to score 56.85% ( 0.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.17% ( 1.63) | 39.83% ( -1.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.81% ( 1.67) | 62.19% ( -1.67) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.23% ( 0.91) | 12.76% ( -0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.96% ( 1.84) | 39.04% ( -1.84) |
| TOP Oss Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.17% ( 0.2) | 34.83% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.43% ( 0.21) | 71.56% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dordrecht | Draw | TOP Oss |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.06)1-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.38)3-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.22)3-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.23)4-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.2)4-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.13)5-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.14)5-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.12)Other @ 3.63% Total : 60.51% | 1-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.34)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.79% | 1-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.34)0-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.82% Total : 18.7% |
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