Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dordrecht win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dordrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Dordrecht in this match.

Result
Dordrecht	Draw	De Graafschap
41.94% ( -1.46)	23.52% ( 0.24)	34.54% ( 1.22)

Both teams to score 62.82% (

-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.07% (

-0.83)

38.93% (

0.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.75% (

-0.87)

61.24% (

0.87)

Dordrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.05% (

-0.95)

18.94% (

0.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.54% (

-1.61)

50.45% (

1.6)

De Graafschap Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.49% (

0.28)

22.5% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.93% (

0.41)

56.06% (

-0.42)

Score Analysis

Dordrecht 41.94%

De Graafschap 34.54%

Draw 23.52%

Dordrecht	Draw	De Graafschap
2-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 4.88% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.45% Total : 41.94%	1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.52%	1-2 @ 7.89% ( 0.2) 0-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.33% Total : 34.54%