SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 58.51%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 21.05% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.93%) and 1-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 1-2 (5.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NAC Breda | Draw | Dordrecht |
58.51% ( 0.16) | 20.44% ( -0.05) | 21.05% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 62.3% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.43% ( 0.11) | 34.57% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.49% ( 0.13) | 56.51% ( -0.12) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.32% ( 0.08) | 11.68% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.24% ( 0.17) | 36.76% ( -0.17) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.53% ( -0.03) | 29.46% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.53% ( -0.04) | 65.47% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| NAC Breda | Draw | Dordrecht |
| 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.77% Total : 58.51% | 1-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.73% ( 0)Other @ 0.32% Total : 20.44% | 1-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.06% Total : 21.05% |
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