Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 58.51%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 21.05% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.93%) and 1-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 1-2 (5.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
NAC Breda	Draw	Dordrecht
58.51% ( 0.16)	20.44% ( -0.05)	21.05% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 62.3% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.43% (

0.11)

34.57% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.49% (

0.13)

56.51% (

-0.12)

NAC Breda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.32% (

0.08)

11.68% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.24% (

0.17)

36.76% (

-0.17)

Dordrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.53% (

-0.03)

29.46% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.53% (

-0.04)

65.47% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

NAC Breda 58.51%

Dordrecht 21.05%

Draw 20.44%

NAC Breda	Draw	Dordrecht
2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 58.51%	1-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.73% ( 0) Other @ 0.32% Total : 20.44%	1-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.06% Total : 21.05%