SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dordrecht win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dordrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Telstar win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dordrecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dordrecht | Draw | Telstar |
43.98% ( 0.04) | 23.81% ( -0.01) | 32.2% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 60.91% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.92% ( 0.03) | 41.07% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.53% ( 0.04) | 63.46% ( -0.04) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.05% ( 0.03) | 18.95% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.53% ( 0.05) | 50.47% ( -0.05) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.15% ( -0) | 24.84% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.56% | 59.44% |
| Score Analysis |
| Dordrecht | Draw | Telstar |
| 2-1 @ 9.07% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.83% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.51% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.5% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0)Other @ 3.38% Total : 43.98% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.63% ( 0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.81% | 1-2 @ 7.59% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.93% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 32.2% |
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