Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 56.92%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 22.13% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.87%) and 0-1 (7.56%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 2-1 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.
