Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 53.81%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 23.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 1-2 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.