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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 17
Dec 18, 2020 at 8pm UK
De Geusselt

MVV
3 - 1
Dordrecht

Vliet (56' og.), Zamouri (68'), Duin (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Schuurman (76')
Surmeli (90')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between MVV Maastricht and Dordrecht.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 51.78%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MVV Maastricht would win this match.

Result
MVV MaastrichtDrawDordrecht
51.78%22.99%25.24%
Both teams to score 58.67%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.22%41.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.82%64.19%
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.79%16.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.29%45.71%
Dordrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.02%29.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.91%66.09%
Score Analysis
    MVV Maastricht 51.78%
    Dordrecht 25.24%
    Draw 22.98%
MVV MaastrichtDrawDordrecht
2-1 @ 9.69%
1-0 @ 8.84%
2-0 @ 8.04%
3-1 @ 5.88%
3-0 @ 4.88%
3-2 @ 3.54%
4-1 @ 2.67%
4-0 @ 2.22%
4-2 @ 1.61%
5-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 51.78%
1-1 @ 10.65%
2-2 @ 5.84%
0-0 @ 4.86%
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.98%
1-2 @ 6.42%
0-1 @ 5.86%
0-2 @ 3.53%
1-3 @ 2.58%
2-3 @ 2.34%
0-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 25.24%

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