Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.46%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Emmen win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.