Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 70.4%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 12.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 3-0 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.69%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 1-2 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.