Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 57.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 20.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 2-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.
