Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 48.38%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.37%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.