Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 48.9%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.05%) and 0-2 (5.36%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almere City would win this match.
