Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 45.28%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.