SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 60.63%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Jong AZ had a probability of 18.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 1-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Jong AZ win it was 1-2 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Jong AZ |
| 60.63% | 20.65% | 18.72% |
| Both teams to score 57.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.85% | 39.15% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.52% | 61.48% |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.48% | 12.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.47% | 38.53% |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.59% | 34.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.88% | 71.12% |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Jong AZ |
| 2-1 @ 9.92% 2-0 @ 9.3% 1-0 @ 8.95% 3-1 @ 6.87% 3-0 @ 6.44% 3-2 @ 3.67% 4-1 @ 3.57% 4-0 @ 3.35% 4-2 @ 1.91% 5-1 @ 1.48% 5-0 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.78% Total : 60.63% | 1-1 @ 9.55% 2-2 @ 5.29% 0-0 @ 4.31% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.65% | 1-2 @ 5.09% 0-1 @ 4.6% 0-2 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 1.88% 1-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 2.89% Total : 18.72% |
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