SBV Excelsior
4 - 1
Jong AZ

Mar Omarsson (56'), Velthuis (67' og.), Mendes Moreira (83'), Meijer (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kunst (88')
Castillo (29')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Jong AZ.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 59.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Jong AZ had a probability of 20.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.42%) and 1-0 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Jong AZ win it was 1-2 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.

Result
SBV Excelsior	Draw	Jong AZ
59.48%	20.45%	20.07%

Both teams to score 60.6%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.94%

36.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.84%

58.16%

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.13%

11.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.82%

37.18%

Jong AZ Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.77%

31.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.42%

67.58%

Score Analysis

SBV Excelsior 59.48%

Jong AZ 20.07%

Draw 20.45%

SBV Excelsior	Draw	Jong AZ
2-1 @ 9.8% 2-0 @ 8.42% 1-0 @ 7.9% 3-1 @ 6.96% 3-0 @ 5.98% 3-2 @ 4.05% 4-1 @ 3.71% 4-0 @ 3.19% 4-2 @ 2.16% 5-1 @ 1.58% 5-0 @ 1.36% 5-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.46% Total : 59.48%	1-1 @ 9.2% 2-2 @ 5.7% 0-0 @ 3.71% 3-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 0.27% Total : 20.45%	1-2 @ 5.35% 0-1 @ 4.32% 0-2 @ 2.51% 2-3 @ 2.21% 1-3 @ 2.08% 0-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.63% Total : 20.07%