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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 12
Nov 23, 2020 at 5.45pm UK
AFAS Stadion
N

Jong AZ
0 - 3
NEC


Velthuis (33'), Druijf (35'), Gullit (45+1'), Aboukhlal (77')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Sellouf (12'), Tavsan (42', 75')
van Eijden (26')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong AZ and NEC.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 54.4%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 25.05% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.65%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
Jong AZDrawNEC
25.05%20.55%54.4%
Both teams to score 67.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.8%30.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.56%51.44%
Jong AZ Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.13%23.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.93%58.06%
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.6%11.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.84%36.16%
Score Analysis
    Jong AZ 25.05%
    NEC 54.4%
    Draw 20.55%
Jong AZDrawNEC
2-1 @ 6.06%
1-0 @ 3.9%
3-2 @ 3.14%
3-1 @ 2.9%
2-0 @ 2.79%
3-0 @ 1.33%
4-2 @ 1.13%
4-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 25.05%
1-1 @ 8.47%
2-2 @ 6.58%
0-0 @ 2.72%
3-3 @ 2.28%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 20.55%
1-2 @ 9.19%
1-3 @ 6.65%
0-2 @ 6.42%
0-1 @ 5.91%
2-3 @ 4.77%
0-3 @ 4.65%
1-4 @ 3.61%
2-4 @ 2.59%
0-4 @ 2.52%
1-5 @ 1.57%
3-4 @ 1.24%
2-5 @ 1.12%
0-5 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 54.4%


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