Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 56.41%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 22% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.