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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 14
Nov 30, 2020 at 8pm UK
Goffertstadion

NEC
2 - 1
MVV

Bruijn (18' pen.), van der Sluijs (80')
Janga (45+1'), van Rooij (56')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Naudts (22')
Salasiwa (15')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between NEC and MVV Maastricht.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 63.13%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 16.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
NECDrawMVV Maastricht
63.13%20.58%16.28%
Both teams to score 52.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.9%43.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.5%65.49%
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.98%13.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.43%39.56%
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.41%39.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.73%76.26%
Score Analysis
    NEC 63.12%
    MVV Maastricht 16.28%
    Draw 20.58%
NECDrawMVV Maastricht
2-0 @ 10.7%
1-0 @ 10.5%
2-1 @ 9.93%
3-0 @ 7.28%
3-1 @ 6.75%
4-0 @ 3.71%
4-1 @ 3.44%
3-2 @ 3.13%
4-2 @ 1.59%
5-0 @ 1.51%
5-1 @ 1.4%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 63.12%
1-1 @ 9.74%
0-0 @ 5.15%
2-2 @ 4.6%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.58%
0-1 @ 4.78%
1-2 @ 4.51%
0-2 @ 2.21%
2-3 @ 1.42%
1-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 16.28%


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