Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 63.13%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 16.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.