SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Helmond Sport win with a probability of 50.15%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Helmond Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Helmond Sport would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Helmond Sport | Draw | Den Bosch |
| 50.15% | 23.3% | 26.55% |
| Both teams to score 58.88% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.92% | 42.08% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.51% | 64.49% |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.09% | 16.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.03% | 46.97% |
| Den Bosch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.87% | 29.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.94% | 65.06% |
| Score Analysis |
| Helmond Sport | Draw | Den Bosch |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% 1-0 @ 8.76% 2-0 @ 7.78% 3-1 @ 5.68% 3-0 @ 4.61% 3-2 @ 3.51% 4-1 @ 2.53% 4-0 @ 2.05% 4-2 @ 1.56% Other @ 4.09% Total : 50.15% | 1-1 @ 10.79% 2-2 @ 5.92% 0-0 @ 4.93% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.29% | 1-2 @ 6.66% 0-1 @ 6.08% 0-2 @ 3.75% 1-3 @ 2.74% 2-3 @ 2.43% 0-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.35% Total : 26.55% |
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