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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 20
Jan 15, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stadion De Braak

Helmond
4 - 0
Den Bosch

Van Keilegom (9'), Loukili (32'), Duijvestijn (39'), Goselink (60')
FT(HT: 3-0)

van der Velden (82')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Helmond Sport and Den Bosch.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Helmond Sport win with a probability of 50.15%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Helmond Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Helmond Sport would win this match.

Result
Helmond SportDrawDen Bosch
50.15%23.3%26.55%
Both teams to score 58.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.92%42.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.51%64.49%
Helmond Sport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.09%16.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.03%46.97%
Den Bosch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.87%29.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.94%65.06%
Score Analysis
    Helmond Sport 50.15%
    Den Bosch 26.55%
    Draw 23.29%
Helmond SportDrawDen Bosch
2-1 @ 9.6%
1-0 @ 8.76%
2-0 @ 7.78%
3-1 @ 5.68%
3-0 @ 4.61%
3-2 @ 3.51%
4-1 @ 2.53%
4-0 @ 2.05%
4-2 @ 1.56%
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 50.15%
1-1 @ 10.79%
2-2 @ 5.92%
0-0 @ 4.93%
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.29%
1-2 @ 6.66%
0-1 @ 6.08%
0-2 @ 3.75%
1-3 @ 2.74%
2-3 @ 2.43%
0-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 26.55%

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