Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.91%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 2-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
