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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 19
Jan 9, 2021 at 1pm UK
De Toekomst

Jong Ajax
2 - 2
Helmond

Pinas (10'), Jensen (44')
Baas (45+1'), Warmerdam (75')
FT(HT: 2-2)
van Hoorenbeeck (13'), Loukili (29')
De Bie (81')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong Ajax and Helmond Sport.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 50.88%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.25%) and 3-1 (6.22%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Jong AjaxDrawHelmond Sport
50.88%21.42%27.71%
Both teams to score 66.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.95%32.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.37%53.63%
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.95%13.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.38%39.62%
Helmond Sport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.9%23.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.04%56.96%
Score Analysis
    Jong Ajax 50.88%
    Helmond Sport 27.71%
    Draw 21.42%
Jong AjaxDrawHelmond Sport
2-1 @ 9.16%
2-0 @ 6.25%
3-1 @ 6.22%
1-0 @ 6.14%
3-2 @ 4.56%
3-0 @ 4.25%
4-1 @ 3.17%
4-2 @ 2.32%
4-0 @ 2.16%
5-1 @ 1.29%
4-3 @ 1.13%
5-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 50.88%
1-1 @ 9%
2-2 @ 6.71%
0-0 @ 3.02%
3-3 @ 2.23%
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 21.42%
1-2 @ 6.59%
0-1 @ 4.42%
2-3 @ 3.28%
0-2 @ 3.24%
1-3 @ 3.22%
0-3 @ 1.58%
2-4 @ 1.2%
1-4 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 27.71%

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