SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Helmond Sport win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Helmond Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.67%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Helmond Sport would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Helmond Sport | Draw | Jong AZ |
| 41.8% | 24.01% | 34.19% |
| Both teams to score 60.92% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.63% | 41.37% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.23% | 63.76% |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.98% | 20.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.78% | 52.22% |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.17% | 23.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.99% | 58.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| Helmond Sport | Draw | Jong AZ |
| 2-1 @ 8.85% 1-0 @ 7.67% 2-0 @ 6.17% 3-1 @ 4.75% 3-2 @ 3.4% 3-0 @ 3.31% 4-1 @ 1.91% 4-2 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.04% Total : 41.8% | 1-1 @ 11% 2-2 @ 6.35% 0-0 @ 4.77% 3-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 0.26% Total : 24% | 1-2 @ 7.89% 0-1 @ 6.84% 0-2 @ 4.91% 1-3 @ 3.77% 2-3 @ 3.04% 0-3 @ 2.35% 1-4 @ 1.35% 2-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.96% Total : 34.19% |
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