Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 55.59%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 23.36% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.44%) and 0-1 (7.15%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 2-1 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-7 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.
