SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 50.06%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 26.97% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MVV Maastricht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Jong AZ |
| 50.06% | 22.97% | 26.97% |
| Both teams to score 60.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.8% | 40.2% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.42% | 62.57% |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.75% | 16.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.22% | 45.77% |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.16% | 27.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.56% | 63.43% |
| Score Analysis |
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Jong AZ |
| 2-1 @ 9.55% 1-0 @ 8.22% 2-0 @ 7.47% 3-1 @ 5.79% 3-0 @ 4.52% 3-2 @ 3.7% 4-1 @ 2.63% 4-0 @ 2.06% 4-2 @ 1.68% 5-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.5% Total : 50.06% | 1-1 @ 10.5% 2-2 @ 6.11% 0-0 @ 4.52% 3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.96% | 1-2 @ 6.72% 0-1 @ 5.78% 0-2 @ 3.7% 1-3 @ 2.87% 2-3 @ 2.6% 0-3 @ 1.58% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.8% Total : 26.97% |
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