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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 28
Mar 12, 2021 at 8pm UK
 

NAC Breda
3 - 2
Helmond

Immers (49'), El Allouchi (67'), Bilate (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Loukili (6'), Van Keilegom (55')
Duijvestijn (90+2')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between NAC Breda and Helmond Sport.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 61.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 17.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 1-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 1-2 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.

Result
NAC BredaDrawHelmond Sport
61.81%20.34%17.85%
Both teams to score 56.76%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.84%39.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.51%61.49%
NAC Breda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.81%12.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.17%37.84%
Helmond Sport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.64%35.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.88%72.12%
Score Analysis
    NAC Breda 61.81%
    Helmond Sport 17.85%
    Draw 20.34%
NAC BredaDrawHelmond Sport
2-1 @ 9.92%
2-0 @ 9.55%
1-0 @ 9.07%
3-1 @ 6.96%
3-0 @ 6.7%
4-1 @ 3.66%
3-2 @ 3.62%
4-0 @ 3.53%
4-2 @ 1.91%
5-1 @ 1.54%
5-0 @ 1.48%
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 61.81%
1-1 @ 9.43%
2-2 @ 5.16%
0-0 @ 4.31%
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.34%
1-2 @ 4.9%
0-1 @ 4.48%
0-2 @ 2.33%
2-3 @ 1.79%
1-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 17.85%

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