Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.33%) and 0-2 (5.53%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.
