SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 48.4%. A win for NEC had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.2%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest NEC win was 2-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for De Graafschap in this match.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | De Graafschap |
| 28.99% | 22.6% | 48.4% |
| Both teams to score 63.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.04% | 36.96% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.86% | 59.14% |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.2% | 24.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.62% | 59.37% |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.36% | 15.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.34% | 44.65% |
| Score Analysis |
| NEC | Draw | De Graafschap |
| 2-1 @ 7% 1-0 @ 5.41% 2-0 @ 3.77% 3-1 @ 3.25% 3-2 @ 3.02% 3-0 @ 1.75% 4-1 @ 1.13% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.61% Total : 28.99% | 1-1 @ 10.03% 2-2 @ 6.49% 0-0 @ 3.88% 3-3 @ 1.87% Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.6% | 1-2 @ 9.31% 0-1 @ 7.2% 0-2 @ 6.68% 1-3 @ 5.76% 0-3 @ 4.13% 2-3 @ 4.01% 1-4 @ 2.67% 0-4 @ 1.92% 2-4 @ 1.86% 1-5 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.89% Total : 48.4% |
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