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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 25
Feb 21, 2021 at 11.15am UK
Goffertstadion
DG

NEC
1 - 2
De Graafschap

Tavsan (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
van Mieghem (50'), van de Pavert (76')
Lelieveld (25'), Verbeek (30'), Leemans (40')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between NEC and De Graafschap.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 48.4%. A win for NEC had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.2%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest NEC win was 2-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for De Graafschap in this match.

Result
NECDrawDe Graafschap
28.99%22.6%48.4%
Both teams to score 63.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.04%36.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.86%59.14%
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.2%24.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.62%59.37%
De Graafschap Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.36%15.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.34%44.65%
Score Analysis
    NEC 28.99%
    De Graafschap 48.4%
    Draw 22.6%
NECDrawDe Graafschap
2-1 @ 7%
1-0 @ 5.41%
2-0 @ 3.77%
3-1 @ 3.25%
3-2 @ 3.02%
3-0 @ 1.75%
4-1 @ 1.13%
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 28.99%
1-1 @ 10.03%
2-2 @ 6.49%
0-0 @ 3.88%
3-3 @ 1.87%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.6%
1-2 @ 9.31%
0-1 @ 7.2%
0-2 @ 6.68%
1-3 @ 5.76%
0-3 @ 4.13%
2-3 @ 4.01%
1-4 @ 2.67%
0-4 @ 1.92%
2-4 @ 1.86%
1-5 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 48.4%

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