Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 67.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 13.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 1-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.7%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 1-2 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.