Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 2-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.
