Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 57.15%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 21.46% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.5%) and 1-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (5.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
