Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 46.67%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.31%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Telstar win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
