Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 58.11%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 21.73% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.39%) and 3-1 (6.99%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (5.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.