Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.27%) and 1-0 (4.75%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.