SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 49.34%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.09%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Jong AZ in this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong AZ | Draw | Den Bosch |
| 49.34% | 21.66% | 29% |
| Both teams to score 67% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.7% | 32.3% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.08% | 53.92% |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.38% | 13.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.23% | 40.77% |
| Den Bosch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.56% | 22.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.02% | 55.97% |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong AZ | Draw | Den Bosch |
| 2-1 @ 9.08% 1-0 @ 6.09% 2-0 @ 6.07% 3-1 @ 6.03% 3-2 @ 4.51% 3-0 @ 4.04% 4-1 @ 3.01% 4-2 @ 2.25% 4-0 @ 2.01% 5-1 @ 1.2% 4-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.94% Total : 49.34% | 1-1 @ 9.1% 2-2 @ 6.78% 0-0 @ 3.06% 3-3 @ 2.25% Other @ 0.47% Total : 21.66% | 1-2 @ 6.8% 0-1 @ 4.57% 0-2 @ 3.41% 1-3 @ 3.39% 2-3 @ 3.38% 0-3 @ 1.7% 1-4 @ 1.27% 2-4 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.22% Total : 29% |
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