Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 49.34%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.09%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Jong AZ in this match.
