Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 61.31%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 19.41% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.7%) and 3-1 (7.31%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 1-2 (5.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong AZ would win this match.
